McConnell's absence hands GOP an opening on the SAVE America Act — but Senate Republicans still can't agree on how to pass it

 July 9, 2026, NEWS

Sen. Mitch McConnell has been away from the Senate for nearly three weeks, sidelined by health problems with no clear return date. His absence removes one reliable Republican "no" vote on the SAVE America Act, the voter ID bill President Trump wants passed "by any means necessary." But even with McConnell out of the picture, Senate Republicans remain stuck, divided over whether to change the filibuster, try budget reconciliation, or simply wait and hope the math changes on its own.

The bill, formally the Safeguarding American Voter Eligibility Act, would require proof of citizenship to register to vote and mandate photo ID at the polls. The House has passed versions of it three times. The Senate has not passed it once. And the disagreement among Republicans about how to get it done has grown louder with each failed attempt.

A 60-vote wall and a fractured majority

The core problem is arithmetic. Breaking a Senate filibuster takes 60 votes. Senate Democrats have unified against the SAVE America Act, and the bill has only twice managed even 50 Republican votes. McConnell, who has routinely voted against the legislation, was one of the holdouts. A Fox News Digital report noted that his extended absence, now approaching three weeks, with his return still unclear, effectively removes one obstacle. But one vote does not close a ten-vote gap.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune has been blunt about the situation. Last month he said:

"The only way you could get there is to undo or get rid of the legislative filibuster, and there aren't even close to the votes here in the United States Senate in order to achieve that."

That admission has frustrated House Republicans who have done their part repeatedly. House Oversight Chairman James Comer went on Fox News and did not mince words, as Just The News reported:

"Are you that weak? That's my question to any Republican senator, are you that weak?"

Comer also pushed back on Thune's vote count, saying he'd heard Senate leadership claim they lack not just 60 votes but even 50, a claim Comer said he does not believe.

Three paths, no consensus

Republicans have floated at least three routes to get the SAVE America Act to the president's desk. None has enough support to move.

The first is the most dramatic: eliminate or weaken the legislative filibuster. Trump has publicly pushed this option. In a social media post, he demanded to know how much more obstruction Senate Republicans would tolerate before they "terminate" the filibuster, as Breitbart reported. Sens. Rick Scott of Florida and Mike Lee of Utah have also pressed colleagues to lift the filibuster for a simple-majority vote on the bill. Scott wrote that Republicans need to "get to work."

Polling suggests the public is on their side. A Harvard-Harris survey found 90 percent of Republicans, 73 percent of independents, and 61 percent of Democrats support requiring proof of citizenship to vote. That kind of bipartisan public backing makes the Senate's inability to act all the more conspicuous.

But the filibuster has defenders on the right, too. National Review published an editorial warning Republicans not to dismantle a procedural tool they may desperately need the next time Democrats hold the majority. The piece pushed back on Elon Musk, who had tweeted that "failing to pass SAVE is an act of high treason against the people of America." Columnist Dan McLaughlin argued that "the right should know better than to let the left dictate the terms of battle."

That tension is real. Thune says the votes to end the filibuster simply do not exist in his caucus. Whether that reflects genuine institutional conviction or political cover is an open question.

Reconciliation: the workaround that may not work

The second path is budget reconciliation, which requires only a simple majority. House Speaker Mike Johnson told Fox News' Shannon Bream he plans to use it:

"We passed it three times in the House. We're going to try one more time on a budget reconciliation bill, and I think that will be the way to get it through the Senate, and finally, to the president's desk."

There is a catch. Reconciliation bills must deal with budgetary matters. Sen. Mike Lee, who supports the SAVE America Act and has pushed hard for it, told Fox News Digital that the bill's voter ID provisions are "non-budgetary" and therefore ineligible for reconciliation. He was direct about the math:

"No evidence that there is a viable path to a third reconciliation bill. I hope there is. I would love to be wrong on that. I want us to do that. I think we should do that. But the schedule that we've got, to my great disappointment, is not, it doesn't accommodate any of it."

One potential workaround has been discussed: packaging federal funding for states to issue enhanced REAL IDs with citizenship verification into a reconciliation bill, then passing a separate voter ID requirement through normal legislative channels. Whether that two-step approach could survive Senate procedural challenges, or attract enough votes, remains unclear.

The talking filibuster option

The third path is the talking filibuster. Lee has pushed this idea for months. Under this approach, senators who want to block a bill would have to hold the floor and speak continuously, the old-fashioned way, rather than simply registering an objection from their offices. The theory is that Democrats would eventually relent if forced to actually sustain a filibuster around the clock.

Republicans have not moved on this option either. Concerns about floor time and fractured unity have kept it on the shelf. It would require Republican solidarity to enforce, and solidarity is exactly what the caucus lacks on this issue.

McConnell, Trump, and the politics underneath

McConnell's absence adds a personal dimension to the standoff. Trump has not been subtle about his frustration with the Kentucky senator. Last month, Trump told reporters:

"Mitch McConnell. He's very disloyal to John Thune. You know, John Thune was a very good person for him. I mean, he's a very loyal person, and Mitch McConnell's against him almost all the time because he's angry, I guess. Probably at me."

A photo caption from Fox News showed McConnell being pushed in a wheelchair through the Senate Subway on March 4, 2026. His health issues have not been specified in detail, and his office has not provided a timeline for his return. The Senate is currently in recess.

McConnell's vote is one piece of the puzzle. But even without him, Republicans have not demonstrated they can hold 50 votes, let alone 60. The broader problem is a caucus that agrees on the policy goal, requiring proof of citizenship to vote, but cannot agree on the procedural price of achieving it.

Democrats' own filibuster record

The filibuster debate carries extra weight because of what Democrats have said and done. Sen. John Cornyn of Texas, who has cosponsored the SAVE America Act, recently announced he now supports whatever rule changes are needed to pass it. As the New York Post reported, Cornyn framed his shift as a response to Democratic bad faith:

"A rule is only a rule if both sides follow it."

Cornyn pointed to 2022, when Chuck Schumer and 47 Senate Democrats voted to eliminate the filibuster to pass their own election law changes, stopped only by two Democratic holdouts. Schumer confirmed in 2024 that Democrats intend to scrap the 60-vote threshold the next time they hold the majority. Cornyn argued that preserving the filibuster under these conditions amounts to "unilateral disarmament."

That argument has weight. If Democrats have already declared they will eliminate the filibuster when it suits them, Republicans who refuse to touch it are defending a norm their opponents have openly promised to destroy.

What happens next

The Senate remains in recess. McConnell remains absent. The House is preparing yet another pass at the SAVE America Act through reconciliation, even as a senior Senate Republican says reconciliation cannot accommodate the bill. Trump's senior political advisor, James Blair, appeared on Fox News' "Sunday Night in America" and described the modern filibuster as a "tool of obstruction", language that signals the White House is not backing off.

The version of the SAVE America Act that Trump wants goes beyond voter ID. It would include a strict crackdown on mail-in balloting, a ban on transgender athletes in women's sports, and a ban on transgender surgical procedures for minors. House Republicans have not yet passed that broader version.

So the bill sits. The House has done its job three times over. The Senate cannot find a path. Democrats are unified in opposition. Republicans are unified in frustration, and divided on everything else.

When a party controls the White House, the House, and the Senate but still cannot pass a bill that seven in ten Americans support, the problem is not the opposition. It is the majority that cannot decide whether governing is worth the trouble.

About Jerry McConway

Jerry McConway is an independent political author and investigator who lives in Dallas, Texas. He has spent years building a strong following of readers who know that he will write what he believes is true, even if it means criticizing politicians his followers support. His readers have come to expect his integrity.

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